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ELO Predictions
Win probabilities for upcoming international matches, calculated using the ELO expected score formula. See which teams are favored and by how much.
Predictions are based on the ELO rating system. Win probabilities are calculated using the expected score formula, which compares the rating difference between two teams to determine the likelihood of each outcome. Home advantage, match importance, and whether the match falls within a FIFA window are all factored into the calculation.